Locally informed simulation model predicts hospital capacity needs during COVID-19 pandemic
(PHYSorg.com Medicine & Health)

A locally informed simulation model may help hospital administrators better prepare for capacity strain during the COVID-19 pandemic. The COVID-19 Hospital Impact Model for Epidemics, or CHIME, includes a user-friendly interface so that hospital leaders can, at any time, independently estimate the time until their hospitals` capacities would likely be exceeded. The model also predicts the intensity of the surge, including need for ward and intensive care unit (ICU) beds and ventilators, and the duration of time that each hospital would experience a demand in excess of capacity, enabling users to plan for upcoming equipment and clinical staffing demands. A brief research report is published in Annals of Internal Medicine.