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RSS FeedsModeling coronavirus: `Uncertainty is the only certainty`
(WorldNews Business)

 
 

7 april 2020 08:12:59

 
Modeling coronavirus: `Uncertainty is the only certainty`
(WorldNews Business)
 


SEATTLE (AP) - A statistical model cited by the White House generated a slightly less grim figure Monday for a first wave of deaths from the coronavirus pandemic in the U.S. - a projection designed to help officials plan for the worst, including having enough hospital staff, beds and ventilators. The only problem with this bit of relatively good news? It`s almost certainly wrong. All models are wrong. Some are just less wrong than others - and those are the ones that public health officials rely on. Welcome to the grimace-and-bear-it world of modeling. `The key thing is that you want to know what`s happening in the future,` said NASA top climate modeler Gavin Schmidt. `Absent a time machine...


 
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